Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 520.491519 553.190087 587.144203 625.093016 666.392959 710.055339 759.806225
2026-01-18 475.706954 520.490065 568.840376 625.128538 689.116759 759.900858 844.546249
2026-01-25 448.541091 501.296716 559.914822 630.278555 712.979913 807.755868 925.540144
2026-02-01 428.412548 487.106004 553.868109 636.063581 735.413331 852.752314 1003.534132
2026-02-08 412.687701 476.205870 549.932807 642.734605 757.716751 897.240606 1082.076252
2026-02-15 396.500801 463.352016 542.311623 643.632346 771.934382 931.415188 1148.583800
2026-02-22 382.166587 451.676250 535.069507 643.961730 784.626045 963.409394 1213.220127
2026-03-01 370.784319 442.847056 530.573116 647.016751 800.306690 999.340857 1284.495768
2026-03-08 358.642486 432.363110 523.283422 645.760752 809.783687 1026.960388 1345.411800
2026-03-15 348.467000 423.812968 517.890406 646.416280 821.401301 1057.529916 1411.740575
2026-03-22 338.707718 415.310420 512.056364 645.974862 831.150931 1085.568755 1475.633213
2026-03-29 329.783145 407.475612 506.661701 645.680443 840.780363 1113.524290 1540.670077
2026-04-05 322.875595 402.016950 504.154994 649.129622 855.686955 1149.644255 1620.290456
2026-04-12 315.122128 395.115069 499.379462 649.097048 865.413171 1178.416602 1690.081998
2026-04-19 309.887726 391.349906 498.617213 654.505902 883.041923 1219.550799 1781.910896
2026-04-26 305.225845 388.151214 498.431934 660.589810 901.746296 1263.039160 1880.315200
2026-05-03 301.165943 385.594715 498.968028 667.607430 921.986767 1309.734836 1987.157098
2026-05-10 295.299468 380.334914 495.498032 668.551912 932.898701 1342.118807 2071.613240
2026-05-17 289.556446 375.050222 491.776687 668.898453 942.762859 1373.126084 2155.613710
2026-05-24 285.023530 371.302312 490.076846 672.112757 957.111193 1411.986747 2256.303862
2026-05-31 279.310486 365.710063 485.524194 670.791241 964.108396 1438.866580 2336.806643
2026-06-07 274.479629 361.223576 482.405840 671.480957 974.252147 1471.398339 2430.131054
2026-06-14 269.530494 356.421992 478.659712 671.016516 982.404549 1500.797026 2519.504079